Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 General Election voters in Nebraska shows Democrat Lynne Walz leading Republican Governor Jim Pillen by +3 points in the race for Governor (43% Walz / 40% Pillen), with 9% choosing someone else and 8% undecided. Republicans hold a narrow +2-point edge on the generic congressional ballot (45% Republican / 43% Democratic): 6% choose someone else and 7% are undecided.

Osborn leads by +7 points in the race for U.S. Senate (48% Osborn / 41% Ricketts): Independent Dan Osborn leads Republican Senator Pete Ricketts, with 6% choosing someone else and 5% undecided. Ricketts' -7-point deficit is -9 points behind the generic Republican's +2-point lead.

Incumbent Republicans are unpopular with general election voters: President Trump has a -12-point net favorability rating (43% favorable / 55% unfavorable). Senator Pete Ricketts has a -15-point net favorability rating (40% favorable / 55% unfavorable), and Governor Jim Pillen a -14-point rating (37% favorable / 51% unfavorable).

Osborn is the only candidate tested with a positive rating: Dan Osborn has a +3-point net favorability rating (47% favorable / 44% unfavorable). Lynne Walz is less well known, with a -6-point net favorability rating (35% favorable / 41% unfavorable) and 24% having no opinion of her.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 10/15–10/18 with a sample size of 500 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely general election voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and text-to-web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is ±4.38%. Data was weighted by Race, Age, Gender, College Attainment, Party, Partisanship, and Mode. Conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy. Crosstabs available upon request.

Key Findings

Independent Brian Bengs holds a +1-point lead over Republican Mike Rounds in the Senate race (43% Bengs / 42% Rounds / 10% undecided): Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 General Election voters in South Dakota shows Senator Rounds trailing his party's candidates for governor and the House. Rounds leads by +67 points among voters with a favorable view of President Trump (77% / 10%), while Bengs leads by +58 points among voters with an unfavorable view of Trump (71% / 13%).

Rounds' deficit is driven by Republican drop-off: Rounds leads among Republicans by +36 points (61% / 25%), while in the race for Governor Republican Larry Rhoden leads by +47 points (65% / 18%); one in four Republicans backs Bengs, and 35% of Republicans view Rounds unfavorably. Bengs leads Democrats by +58 points (68% / 10%), and only 16% of Democrats have an unfavorable view of him.

Republican incumbent Larry Rhoden holds a +10-point lead over Democrat Dan Ahlers for governor (48% Rhoden / 38% Ahlers / 10% undecided): Four percent choose someone else. Rhoden runs well ahead of the rest of the Republican ticket: his +10-point lead is +11 points better than Rounds' -1-point deficit in the Senate race (42% Rounds / 43% Bengs) and +7 points better than Jackley's +3-point lead for the House (44% / 41%). He also runs ahead of President Trump: his 48% vote share is +4 points above Trump's 44% favorable rating, and his +10-point lead is +20 points better than Trump's -10-point net favorability (44% / 54%).

Rounds and President Trump both have negative net favorability ratings (Rounds -4 points, 44% / 48%; Trump -10 points, 44% / 54%): Trump's South Dakota rating is +9 points better than his current national average. Both challengers have positive net favorability ratings: Bengs has a +14-point positive net favorability rating (38% favorable / 24% unfavorable) and Ahlers a +15-point positive rating (37% / 22%); 37% and 41% respectively have no opinion or are neutral.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 10/06–10/08 with a sample size of 400 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely general election voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and text-to-web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is ±4.90%. Data was weighted by Race, Age, Gender, College, Party, and Partisanship. Conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy. Crosstabs available upon request.

Key Findings

Independent Seth Bodnar holds a +2-point lead over Republican Kurt Alme (37% Bodnar / 35% Alme / 13% Bankhead / 13% undecided): Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 General Election voters in Montana shows Bodnar narrowly ahead in the race for U.S. Senate. Democrat Alani Bankhead receives 13% and Libertarian Kyle Austin 1%.

Bodnar wins over voters who view President Trump unfavorably: Alme leads by +72 points among voters with a favorable view of President Trump (80% / 8%), while Bodnar leads among voters with an unfavorable view of Trump, splitting them with Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead (58% Bodnar / 23% Bankhead / 5% Alme / 2% Austin / 13% undecided).

Alme runs 3 points behind the generic Republican: Republicans lead the generic congressional ballot by +1 point (37% Republican / 36% Democratic), while Alme trails Bodnar by 2 points in the Senate race. On the generic ballot, 14% choose someone else and 13% are undecided.

President Trump is unpopular in Montana: President Trump is viewed negatively by a majority of Treasure State voters; he has a -17-point net favorability rating (41% favorable / 58% unfavorable). Trump's negative favorability rating is in line with national polling averages.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 10/06–10/08 with a sample size of 405 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely general election voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and text-to-web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is ±4.87%. Data was weighted by Race, Age, Gender, College, Party, and CD. Conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners. Crosstabs available upon request.

Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 General Election voters in Nevada shows Lombardo and Ford locked in a dead heat for Governor (43% Lombardo / 42% Ford): Incumbent Governor Joe Lombardo holds a one-point lead over Attorney General Aaron Ford. While most voters are decided between the two candidates, 7% say they plan to vote for someone else and 8% remain unsure who they will support.

Democrats hold a +15-point lead on the generic congressional ballot (48% Democrat / 33% Republican): The generic ballot test for Congress shows a far more Democratic-leaning electorate than the Governor's race suggests. The generic Democratic candidate outperforms Ford by +6 points (48% / 42%), while the generic Republican underperforms Lombardo by -10 points (33% / 43%). Twelve percent (12%) remain undecided, and 7% plan to vote for someone else. Trump is unpopular with general election voters (38% favorable / 59% unfavorable): The President is seen far more unfavorably than favorably in the Silver State, with just 3% unsure.

Lombardo's image is evenly split; a quarter of voters have no opinion of Ford: Lombardo is viewed favorably by 46% and unfavorably by 47%, with 7% unsure. Ford is viewed favorably by 35% and unfavorably by 41%, but nearly a quarter (24%) are unsure of their opinion of him.

Nevada's Democratic Senators are viewed similarly: Senator Catherine Cortez Masto is seen favorably by 42% and unfavorably by 41%, with 17% unsure. Senator Jacky Rosen has 38% favorability and 40% unfavorability, with 22% unsure.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 09/26–09/30 with a sample size of 565 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely general election voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and text-to-web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is ±4.12%. Data was weighted by Race, Age, Gender, College, Partisanship, and CD, and pre-stratified by partisanship and college attainment. Conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy. Crosstabs available upon request.

Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 General Election voters in Ohio shows physician and former director of Ohio's Department of Health Amy Acton leading entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy by +12 points (49% to 37%), while 12% of voters remain undecided.

Former Senator Sherrod Brown has the support of half of Ohio general election voters (50%), while the incumbent Jon Husted trails behind with 40% of the vote. Only 7% remain undecided, and 4% said they plan to vote for someone else.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 08/29–08/31 with a sample size of 504 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely General Election voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and text-to-web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is ±4.36%. Data was weighted by Race, Age, Gender, College, Partisanship, and CD, and pre-stratified by partisanship and college attainment. Conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners. Crosstabs available upon request.

Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 General Election voters in New York shows Governor Kathy Hochul leading Republican Bruce Blakeman by +16 points (50% Hochul / 34% Blakeman), with 11% undecided and 5% supporting someone else.

Hochul's strength runs deep across the electorate, leading big among Black voters (65%) and Latino voters (64%).

Hochul is viewed positively by a majority of New York voters: she holds a +11-point net favorability rating (51% favorable / 40% unfavorable) and is the only figure tested to clear double-digit net favorability. Blakeman was not tested for favorability in this survey.

New Yorkers are far more pessimistic about the direction of the country than about their own state: 66% say the United States is on the wrong track (25% right track), compared with 45% wrong track / 41% right track for both New York State and New York City.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 8/19–8/21 with a sample size of 505 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely General Election voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and text-to-web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is ±4.4%. Data was weighted by Race, Age, Gender, College Attainment, Congressional District, Partisanship, and Party. Conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners.

Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2026 Primary voters in Georgia shows Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Michael Thurmond in the Democratic Primary for Governor by +30-points (42% Bottoms / 12% Thurmond).

Followed by Geoff Duncan with 8% and Jason Esteves with 6% support.

The poll found Bottoms leading with key subgroups, including a +32-point advantage with Black voters (49% Bottoms / 17% Thurmond) and by +14-points with White voters (31% Bottoms / 17% Duncan).

Bottoms holds a +36-point lead amongst women (Bottoms 46% / Thurmond 10%) and a +18-point advantage with men (34% Bottoms / 16% Thurmond).

Bottom's is widely known and viewed positively by nearly two-thirds of Georgia Democratic Primary voters: Bottom's enjoys a +52-point net favorability rating statewide (66% favorable / 14% unfavorable) a +57-point net favorability rating outside of ATL (68% favorable / 11% unfavorable) and a +27-point net favorability in ATL (54% favorable / 27% unfavorable).

Her closest opponents are still significantly less known, Michael Thurmond holds a +23-point net favorability rating (35% favorable / 12% unfavorable) and 53% of Democrats do not have an opinion of him while Geoff Duncan has a +13-point net favorability rating (31% favorable / 18% unfavorable) and 51% of Georgia Democrats do not have an opinion of him.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 03/31-04/10 with a sample size of 437 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely Democratic Primary voters. This survey was conducted via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 4.68%. Data was weighted by the following: Race, Age, Gender, College Attainment, and Mode.

Key Findings

Helen Foulkes leads Dan McKee by +9-points (24% Foulkes / McKee 15%): Foulke's holds a +19-point advantage over McKee with women (33% to 14%) she leads by +14-points in CD 1 (27% to 13%) and her lead is stronger with voters under the age of 65 and with voters outside of Providence.

A plurality of voters view both candidates positively: McKee has a +9-point net favorability rating (45% favorable / 36% unfavorable) while Foulke's is less known than McKee she is viewed more positively by those who do know her and has a +19-point net favorability rating (33% favorable / 14% unfavorable).

Providence's Mayor has high statewide name ID (71%): Brett Smiley has a +17-point net favorability rating (44% favorable / 27% unfavorable) Smiley was seen most favorably by White voters (48% favorable / 22% unfavorable), and voters aged 65+ (61% favorable / 5% unfavorable).

RI Public Charter Schools viewed positively: A plurality (45% favorable / 25% unfavorable) of voters viewed public charter schools favorably. Charter schools were most popular with Latino voters (87% favorable / 5% unfavorable) and women (62% favorable / 12% unfavorable).

A majority of RI Democrats support opting into the Federal Scholarship Tax Credit (FSTC) program: After an initial description, FSTC opt-in is supported by 59% of voters, with only 20% in opposition. Support for opting in was most popular amongst voters aged 35-49 (62%) and CD 1 voters (73%).

Methodology

This survey was conducted on 02/28 with a sample size of 319 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely 2026 Democratic Primary voters. This survey was conducted via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 5.44%. Data was weighted by the following: Race, Age, Gender, College Attainment and Congressional District.

Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2025 General Election voters in New Jersey shows Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli in the race for Governor by 9 points (49% to 40%). The poll found Sherrill leading with key subgroups, including a 9-point advantage with Independents (48% to 39%), 63-points with Black voters (70% to 7%) and 15-points with Latino voters (50% to 35%). Sherrill maintains a strong lead amongst women +15 over Ciattarelli (53% to 38%), and a narrow lead with men +3 at (45% to 42%).

Sherrill is viewed positively by a plurality of voters (45% favorable / 42% unfavorable) but Ciattarelli is under water (41% favorable / 49% unfavorable): Sherrill enjoys a +3 favorability rating while Ciattarelli is viewed more negatively (-8), giving him the same net negative rating as President Trump (44% favorable / 52% unfavorable).

New Jersey voters overwhelmingly support K-12 education policy proposals designed to improve 3rd grade literacy, including accountability measures, expanded school choice options, and implementation of innovative approaches to accelerate student learning and growth: Over 8 in 10 voters (82%) expressed support for accountability measures that would measure student performance, provide early interventions to struggling readers and hold schools accountable for results. The proposal received strong support across race, gender, and party, including 92% from Democrats, 71% from Republicans, 91% from Black voters, and 92% backing from Latinos.

Close to two-thirds (63%) of the voters said they support policies to expand school choice options, including interdistrict enrollment, additional public charter school seats, and subsidies to parents to pay for transportation costs and out-of-school enrichment activities. Democrats (62%) and Republicans (62%) were equally supportive but Black voters (72%) expressed the most support.

A strong majority of voters (57%) showed support for innovative approaches, including the exploration of Artificial Intelligence to accelerate learning and growth, supporting innovative models such as microschools, and scaling what works best. Strongest support came from Democrats (67%), Black voters (68%), and voters between the ages of 35-49 (63%).

Almost two-thirds of New Jersey voters want to see the next governor opt-in to the federal tax scholarship school choice program known as the Educational Choice for Children Act (ECCA): Close to two-thirds of voters (65%) said they support the next governor opting-in to ECCA while only 21% opposed. ECCA is most popular amongst voters of color, with 79% of Black voters strongly or somewhat supporting, as well as 76% of Latino voters and 72% of Asian voters. Democratic voters were the most supportive, with 71% in favor of opting in, compared to 62% of Republicans and 61% of Independents.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 10/16-18 with a sample size of 605 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely voters for the November 2025 NJ Governor election via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 3.92%. Data was weighted by the following: Race, Age, Gender, Party, and College Attainment.

Key Findings

Democratic primary voters believe young people today will be worse off than previous generations: By a whopping 56-point margin (75% worse off / 19% better off) voters said today's young people will not do as well financially as their parents and grandparents. This pessimistic view is largely consistent with all voters regardless of race, age, party affiliation or parental status. In order to address this concern, voters prioritized improving the quality of schools 2nd (29%) behind only reducing the costs of everyday life like housing and groceries (50%).

Most voters know NM schools are behind the rest of the country: 68% said it was "the lowest or one of the lowest performing states" in math and reading proficiency. Hispanic and Native American voters were much more likely to feel that NM schools were doing better: 33% and 50% respectively said the state was "somewhere in the middle" when compared to other states in math and reading, only 16% of White voters felt this way.

Voters are deeply divided over different visions to improve education: When asked to pick one of three competing approaches towards schools in New Mexico from hypothetical candidates for Governor, voters were split almost evenly between messages that were directed at addressing problems in school directly and one that simply placed the burden for improving outcomes for kids on external factors completely outside of a school's control.

White voters and voters with college degrees are more likely to feel that external factors alone overwhelm schools and improvements are not possible: While voters of color and non-college voters are more likely to feel that improvements within schools are possible and needed, Hispanic voters favored the combined "improve education messages" over "external factors only" by +13 (50% to 27%) Native American voters by +36 (57% to 21%) while "improve education messages" lost out to "external factors only" among white voters by -12 (40% to 52%).

The next Governor should embrace new and proven approaches to prepare young people for success in education and the workforce: Improving access to quality school options including magnet schools, STEM academies, charter schools and tribal compact schools was especially popular with 79% of NM Democrats, including 85% of Hispanic voters and 86% of Native American voters.

An overwhelming majority of New Mexico primary voters support the federal school choice program: 69% of voters favor the Governor opting into the federal tax credit program with 24% opposing. While there's strong support across all age groups and demographics, the strongest support came from voters 18 - 34 years old (79% support), Native Americans (93% support), and voters without a 4-year college degree (75% support).

Methodology

This Concord Public Opinion survey was conducted between 08/30-09/02 with a sample size of 600 respondents. Data was collected by contacting NM likely Democratic primary voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 3.94%. Data was weighted by the following: Race, Age, Gender.

Key Findings

Angela Alsobrooks holds a +14-point lead: A new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners shows U.S. Senate candidate Angela Alsobrooks leading opponent Republican Larry Hogan. In this poll of n=419, 52 percent said If the election were today, they would vote for Democrat Angela Alsobrooks. Republican Larry Hogan holds 38 percent of the vote, with 3 percent voting for Mike Scott, and 7 percent Undecided/Other.

Methodology

The Concord Public Opinion Partners poll was conducted November 1-3, 2024. The sample consisted of n=419 voters, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll's margin of error of +/- 4.74 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, party, race, college attainment, and recalled 2020 presidential vote. Data was collected by contacting Maryland registered voters via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys.

Key Findings

Angela Alsobrooks holds a 5-point lead: A new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners shows Democratic candidate Angela Alsobrooks leading against David Trone. In this poll of n=460 registered voters, 39 percent said If the election were today, they would vote for Democrat Angela Alsobrooks. David Trone holds 34 percent of the vote, with 27 percent still undecided or voting for another candidate.

Methodology

This Concord Public Opinion Partners poll was conducted between May 2nd-9th, 2024. The sample consisted of n=460 registered voters, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll's margin of error of +/- 4.52 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, race and Congressional District. Data was collected by contacting voters selected from a Maryland registered voter file, via live calls to cell phones and landlines in addition to SMS text surveys.

Key Findings

Matt Meyer holds a 7-point lead in DE Gov Primary: A new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy (ERNA) shows Matt Meyer leading Bethany Hall-Long and Collin O'Mara. In this poll of n=453 registered voters, 30 percent said If the Democratic Primary election were today they would vote for Matt Meyer. Bethany Hall-Long holds 23 percent of the vote, 8 percent would vote for Collin O'Mara and 40 percent were undecided.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 8/2-4 with a sample size of 453 respondents. Data was collected by contacting registered Democrats via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 4.55%. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, race and education.

Key Findings

Mac Deford and Michael Moore are in a virtual tie in the SC 01 Democratic primary: In a poll conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners 5/23-5/26 sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy of n=326 registered voters, 28 percent said if the election were today, they would vote for Mac Deford. Michael Moore holds 27 percent of the vote, with 46 percent still undecided or voting for another candidate.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 5/23-26 with a sample size of 326 respondents. Data was collected by contacting SC 01 registered voters selected from the South Carolina voter file who had voted in recent Democratic primaries via live calls to cell phones and landlines. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 5.38%.

Key Findings

Beshear holds an 8-point lead: A new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy (ERNA) shows Governor Beshear leading opponent Republican Daniel Cameron. In this poll of n=470, 48 percent said If the election were today, they would vote for Democrat Andy Beshear. Republican Daniel Cameron holds 40 percent of the vote, with 12 percent still undecided.

Methodology

The Concord Public Opinion Partners poll was conducted November 1-2, 2023. The sample consisted of n=470 voters, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll's margin of error of +/-4.5 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, party, race and education. Data was collected by contacting voters selected from the Kentucky voter file via live calls to cell phones and landlines.

Key Findings

In a new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners, 45% of voters in Virginia's Second Congressional District feel as if Glenn Youngkin has not delivered on his promise of demanding better performance from schools.

Methodology

Concord Public Opinion sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy conducted a poll of n=200 likely voters who resided in Virginia's Second Congressional district. The survey was conducted in English and Spanish and collected via cellular and landline telephone calls from July 17th-19th, 2023. The margin of sampling error is +/- 6.9 percentage points.

Key Findings

In a follow up poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners, 42% of voters in Virginia's Second Congressional District feel as if Glenn Youngkin has not delivered on his promise of demanding better performance from schools. This is 3 percentage points lower from where voters stood in mid-July when first asked.

Methodology

Concord Public Opinion sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy conducted a poll of n=455 likely voters who resided in Virginia's Second Congressional district. The survey was conducted in English and collected via cellular/landline telephone calls, or cellular text from October 7th-10th, 2023. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.54 percentage points.

Key Findings

In a new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners on behalf of Education Reform Now Advocacy (ERNA), 376 likely municipal voters in Memphis, TN reveal that Paul Young leads narrowly (+3%) if the October 5th election were held "tomorrow."

Mayoral Topline by Race + Age: Young is strongest with White voters between ages 18-49 where he leads his closest competitor (Gibson) by +20 points.

Mayoral Topline by Partisanship: Herenton and Young are essentially tied with voters modeled to be strong Democrats (71% of the likely voter universe). While Young, overperforms with moderates (12% of the universe).

Methodology

The citywide representative poll was conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners Sept 10th, 2023, and surveyed likely municipal voters in Memphis TN. Data was collected by contacting cell phones and landlines via live callers. The sample size is n=376, with a MOE of +/- 5.89%.

Key Findings

A strong majority (65%) approve of how Mayor Reed is handling his job, and would vote to re-elect him (61%) if the August election were held today. Impressively, only a quarter of voters disapprove of his job performance as Mayor, a strikingly low percentage for any Mayor at the end of their first term.

Concord Public Opinion Partners sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy (ERNA) recently conducted polling of 263 municipal voters in Montgomery Alabama.

Methodology

The citywide representative poll was conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners May 10th, 2023, and surveyed municipal voters in Montgomery AL. Data was collected by contacting cell phones and landlines via live callers. The sample size is n=263, with a MOE of +/- 5.89%.