NEW JERSEY
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New Jersey Governor Statewide Findings

To:Interested Parties
From:Concord Public Opinion Partners
Re:New Jersey Statewide Survey Results
Date:

Key Findings

Polling conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners of likely 2025 General Election voters in New Jersey shows Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli in the race for Governor by 9 points (49% to 40%). The poll found Sherrill leading with key subgroups, including a 9-point advantage with Independents (48% to 39%), 63-points with Black voters (70% to 7%) and 15-points with Latino voters (50% to 35%). Sherrill maintains a strong lead amongst women +15 over Ciattarelli (53% to 38%), and a narrow lead with men +3 at (45% to 42%).
If the general election for Governor were today, whom would you vote for?
Sherrill is viewed positively by a plurality of voters (45% favorable / 42% unfavorable) but Ciattarelli is under water (41% favorable / 49% unfavorable): Sherrill enjoys a +3 favorability rating while Ciattarelli is viewed more negatively (-8), giving him the same net negative rating as President Trump (44% favorable / 52% unfavorable).
Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following people
New Jersey voters overwhelmingly support K-12 education policy proposals designed to improve 3rd grade literacy, including accountability measures, expanded school choice options, and implementation of innovative approaches to accelerate student learning and growth: Over 8 in 10 voters (82%) expressed support for accountability measures that would measure student performance, provide early interventions to struggling readers and hold schools accountable for results. The proposal received strong support across race, gender, and party, including 92% from Democrats, 71% from Republicans, 91% from Black voters, and 92% backing from Latinos.
Close to two-thirds (63%) of the voters said they support policies to expand school choice options, including interdistrict enrollment, additional public charter school seats, and subsidies to parents to pay for transportation costs and out-of-school enrichment activities. Democrats (62%) and Republicans (62%) were equally supportive but Black voters (72%) expressed the most support.
A strong majority of voters (57%) showed support for innovative approaches, including the exploration of Artificial Intelligence to accelerate learning and growth, supporting innovative models such as microschools, and scaling what works best. Strongest support came from Democrats (67%), Black voters (68%), and voters between the ages of 35-49 (63%).
Almost two-thirds of New Jersey voters want to see the next governor opt-in to the federal tax scholarship school choice program known as the Educational Choice for Children Act (ECCA): Close to two-thirds of voters (65%) said they support the next governor opting-in to ECCA while only 21% opposed. ECCA is most popular amongst voters of color, with 79% of Black voters strongly or somewhat supporting, as well as 76% of Latino voters and 72% of Asian voters. Democratic voters were the most supportive, with 71% in favor of opting in, compared to 62% of Republicans and 61% of Independents.

Methodology

This survey was conducted between 10/16-18 with a sample size of 605 respondents. Data was collected by contacting likely voters for the November 2025 NJ Governor election via live calls to cell phones and landlines and Text-to-Web surveys. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 3.92%. Data was weighted by the following: Race, Age, Gender, Party, and College Attainment.